Backlash Over Asta Cita Leaves Subianto MILD
Prabowo Subianto - President of the Republic of Indonesia Subianto imposed austerity measures to fund Asta Cita, a costly development program, which has put pressure on Indonesia’s economy. As part…
El-Sisi’s HOT Deployment of 1,000 Troops to Somalia
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, president of Egypt, has bilaterally deployed over 1,000 troops to Somalia to help fight insurgency groups. The deployment also supports el-Sisi’s goal to contain Ethiopia’s control over…
Meloni’s MILD Pivot on the EU-Mercosur trade deal: The Price of Support
Giorgia Meloni's crucial pivot allowed the EU's largest-ever trade agreement to finally pass. With €45 billion in EU commitments to Italy, Meloni eased domestic pressures while presenting herself as a…
Mohammad bin Salman’s BLAZING calibrated intervention in Yemen to counter southern fragmentation
MBS successfully enforced Saudi “red lines” in Yemen, halting United Arab Emirates (UAE)-backed fragmentation without triggering full-scale war. The intervention strengthened his legitimacy by aligning regional security with the protection…
Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah’s HOT Economic Plans for Namibia
After assuming power in March 2025, Namibia's President Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah has prioritised resolving Namibia’s socioeconomic constraints. Her political agenda indicates a desire for sweeping reforms regarding employment, education, poverty, and…
Mark Carney Stays MILD Amid Rising Pressure and Constrained Governance
Mark Carney - Prime Minister of Canada Carney has secured political continuity and a clear strategic direction, but minority rule constrains his ability to deliver rapid or decisive outcomes. Economic…
Frostadóttir’s BLAZING Rewriting of Icelandic Defence Strategy
Increasing regional tensions have reignited plans for a referendum on Iceland’s potential EU membership, set to be held by the end of 2027. As relations with the United States of America worsen, Frostadóttir is pursuing new partnerships to reinforce Iceland’s security. Frostadóttir’s tactics provide a model for small-state security strategy.
Assimi Goïta COLD as JNIM Forces Encircle Bamako
The fuel blockade imposed by the JNIM in September 2025 and later expanded in November, has led to massive fuel shortages in the capital city of Bamako. Assimi Goïta, the…
Japan’s HOT Turn Under Sanae Takaichi
Sanae Takaichi has consolidated rare political authority to push Japan’s most ambitious defence and security overhaul since the post-war era. Her agenda is increasingly constrained by parliamentary veto players and…
Vučić MILD: Failing the Test? Students Demand the Ballot
Serbia’s prolonged anti-government student protests challenge President Aleksandar Vučić’s legitimacy but have not yet threatened his grip on power due to loyal institutions and controlled media. Changing public sentiment and…
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